Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.629905 15.624728 17.826850 20.440943 23.463239 26.852151 30.946598
2025-10-12 11.135337 13.768287 16.913526 20.958548 26.039019 32.229796 40.378054
2025-10-19 9.779231 12.764865 16.539574 21.684280 28.548564 37.440390 49.911051
2025-10-26 8.351917 11.384746 15.397614 21.129230 29.161050 40.097543 56.257267
2025-11-02 7.348910 10.399197 14.597100 20.842153 29.976368 42.970353 63.074561
2025-11-09 6.562196 9.599435 13.928279 20.606783 30.757674 45.778839 70.008830
2025-11-16 5.900909 8.894962 13.299632 20.323633 31.380572 48.344206 76.777341
2025-11-23 5.313298 8.231534 12.650857 19.915406 31.726166 50.461170 83.001024
2025-11-30 5.100060 8.116455 12.816435 20.777247 34.140290 56.052000 95.484464
2025-12-07 4.795517 7.822303 12.663536 21.093155 35.667472 60.311463 106.151431
2025-12-14 4.456708 7.437664 12.322826 21.050408 36.561931 63.556722 115.353843
2025-12-21 4.129150 7.040429 11.921611 20.856010 37.154674 66.304142 123.913422
2025-12-28 3.982445 6.944452 12.030978 21.581437 39.489428 72.454330 139.678666
2026-01-04 3.817460 6.800861 12.042618 22.127697 41.544097 78.292765 155.539071
2026-01-11 3.698843 6.728412 12.171302 22.896290 44.086165 85.302122 174.567977
2026-01-18 3.402488 6.303050 11.616734 22.308446 43.918494 86.975395 182.724804
2026-01-25 3.171834 5.981550 11.228190 22.004428 44.279108 89.728053 193.477976
2026-02-01 2.968981 5.696394 10.884472 21.755177 44.720129 92.675563 204.984192
2026-02-08 2.778048 5.418990 10.532680 21.455342 45.020309 95.343389 216.157675
2026-02-15 2.588904 5.130205 10.135027 21.023082 44.990780 97.285345 225.864654
2026-02-22 2.555111 5.152281 10.364047 21.935693 47.984956 106.199630 253.207344
2026-03-01 2.464403 5.049704 10.328121 22.270242 49.716110 112.429847 274.779198
2026-03-08 2.344068 4.875671 10.128743 22.224971 50.571317 116.711882 291.992651